The model estimates 2.02 goals for Harrogate Town and 1.62 for Carlisle. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Harrogate Town and 6 for Carlisle, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Harrogate Town · 47%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Harrogate Town is going head to head with Carlisle on January 09, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of England National League — Round 27.
Harrogate Town take on Carlisle in the England National League on 9 January 2027 at 00:00.
Harrogate Town are currently placed 2nd in the table with 32 points, while Carlisle occupy 11th position with 23 points.
Harrogate Town come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Carlisle have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 11 recorded meetings, Harrogate Town have 7 wins against Carlisle, with 3 draws.
Prediction: Harrogate Town to win with probability 47%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.64. Over 2.5: 70%. BTTS: 71%.




In their last 6 matches, Harrogate Town have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Harrogate Town's last 6 matches.
Harrogate Town score an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Carlisle have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Carlisle have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Carlisle's last 6 matches.