The model estimates 1.30 goals for Hartlepool and 1.19 for Aldershot. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Hartlepool and 6 for Aldershot, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Hartlepool · 37%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Hartlepool is going head to head with Aldershot on January 23, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of England National League — Round 28.
Hartlepool take on Aldershot in the England National League on 23 January 2027 at 00:00.
Hartlepool are currently placed 20th in the table with 15 points, while Aldershot occupy 17th position with 17 points.
Hartlepool come into this match with 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Aldershot have 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 16 recorded meetings, Hartlepool have 8 wins against Aldershot, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Hartlepool to win with probability 40%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.50. Over 2.5: 46%. BTTS: 52%.




Hartlepool have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Hartlepool have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Hartlepool's last 6 matches.
Aldershot have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Aldershot have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Aldershot's last 6 matches.