The model estimates 1.21 goals for Hartlepool and 1.70 for AFC Fylde. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Hartlepool and 6 for AFC Fylde, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: AFC Fylde · 47%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Hartlepool is going head to head with AFC Fylde on January 09, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of England National League — Round 27.
Hartlepool take on AFC Fylde in the England National League on 9 January 2027 at 00:00.
Hartlepool are currently placed 20th in the table with 15 points, while AFC Fylde occupy 8th position with 26 points.
Hartlepool come into this match with 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas AFC Fylde have 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 10 recorded meetings, AFC Fylde have 6 wins against Hartlepool, with 2 draws.
Prediction: AFC Fylde to win with probability 45%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 2.91. Over 2.5: 56%. BTTS: 59%.




Hartlepool have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Hartlepool have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Hartlepool's last 6 matches.
AFC Fylde have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
AFC Fylde concede an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of AFC Fylde's last 6 away matches.