The model estimates 1.82 goals for AC Milan and 0.71 for Parma. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for AC Milan and 6 for Parma, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: AC Milan · 63%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
AC Milan is going head to head with Parma on December 06, 2026 at 20:30. This match is part of Serie A — Round 14.
AC Milan take on Parma in the Serie A on 6 December 2026 at 20:30.
AC Milan are currently placed 5th in the table with 18 points, while Parma occupy 18th position with 5 points.
AC Milan come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Parma have 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: AC Milan to win with probability 58%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 2.53. Over 2.5: 46%. BTTS: 44%.




In their last 6 matches, AC Milan have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of AC Milan's last 6 matches.
AC Milan score an average of 2.00 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Parma have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Parma's last 6 matches.
Parma have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.