The model estimates 2.77 goals for Birmingham City and 0.97 for Burnley. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Birmingham City and 6 for Burnley, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Birmingham City · 65%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Birmingham City is going head to head with Burnley on May 01, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Championship — Round 46.
Birmingham City take on Burnley in the Championship on 1 May 2027 at 00:00.
Birmingham City are currently placed 1st in the table with 29 points, while Burnley occupy 22nd position with 10 points.
Birmingham City come into this match with 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Burnley have 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 68 recorded meetings, Burnley have 32 wins against Birmingham City, with 14 draws.
Prediction: Birmingham City to win with probability 66%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 3.74. Over 2.5: 72%. BTTS: 59%.




In their last 6 matches, Birmingham City have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Birmingham City have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Birmingham City's last 6 matches.
Burnley have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Burnley's last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Burnley's last 6 matches.