The model estimates 1.69 goals for Berceo and 1.31 for Alfaro. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Berceo and 6 for Alfaro, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Berceo · 45%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Berceo is going head to head with Alfaro on November 08, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 16 — Round 10.
Berceo take on Alfaro in the Spain Tercera Division Group 16 on 8 November 2026 at 19:00.
Berceo are currently placed 6th in the table with 15 points, while Alfaro occupy 4th position with 16 points.
Berceo come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Alfaro have 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 18 recorded meetings, Alfaro have 12 wins against Berceo, with 3 draws.
Prediction: Berceo to win with probability 45%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.00. Over 2.5: 58%. BTTS: 61%.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Berceo's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Berceo's last 6 matches.
Berceo score an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Alfaro have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Alfaro have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
Alfaro have won only 2 of their last 6 away matches.