The model estimates 1.63 goals for Alfaro and 0.95 for San Marcial. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Alfaro and 6 for San Marcial, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Alfaro · 52%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Alfaro is going head to head with San Marcial on November 29, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 16 — Round 13.
Alfaro take on San Marcial in the Spain Tercera Division Group 16 on 29 November 2026 at 19:00.
Alfaro are currently placed 4th in the table with 16 points, while San Marcial occupy 7th position with 15 points.
Alfaro come into this match with 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas San Marcial have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 10 recorded meetings, Alfaro have 8 wins against San Marcial, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Alfaro to win with probability 50%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.58. Over 2.5: 48%. BTTS: 51%.


In their last 6 matches, Alfaro have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Alfaro have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Alfaro's last 6 home matches.
In their last 6 matches, San Marcial have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 4 of San Marcial's last 6 matches.
San Marcial score an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.