The model estimates 1.05 goals for Cenicero and 1.53 for Alfaro. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Cenicero and 6 for Alfaro, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Alfaro · 40%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Cenicero is going head to head with Alfaro on November 22, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 16 — Round 12.
Cenicero take on Alfaro in the Spain Tercera Division Group 16 on 22 November 2026 at 19:00.
Cenicero are currently placed 16th in the table with 5 points, while Alfaro occupy 4th position with 16 points.
Cenicero come into this match with 1 win, 0 draws and 5 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Alfaro have 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 2 recorded meetings, Alfaro have 2 wins against Cenicero.
Prediction: Alfaro to win with probability 42%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.58. Over 2.5: 48%. BTTS: 53%.


Cenicero have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Cenicero have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Cenicero's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Alfaro have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Alfaro have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
Alfaro have won only 2 of their last 6 away matches.