The model estimates 2.50 goals for Alfaro and 0.92 for River Ebro. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Alfaro and 6 for River Ebro, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Alfaro · 65%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Alfaro is going head to head with River Ebro on November 15, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 16 — Round 11.
Alfaro take on River Ebro in the Spain Tercera Division Group 16 on 15 November 2026 at 19:00.
Alfaro are currently placed 4th in the table with 16 points, while River Ebro occupy 13th position with 7 points.
Alfaro come into this match with 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas River Ebro have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 21 recorded meetings, Alfaro have 13 wins against River Ebro, with 3 draws.
Prediction: Alfaro to win with probability 65%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 3.42. Over 2.5: 66%. BTTS: 56%.


In their last 6 matches, Alfaro have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Alfaro have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Alfaro's last 6 home matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of River Ebro's last 6 matches.
River Ebro have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of River Ebro's last 6 matches.