The model estimates 0.90 goals for Natsional Sofia and 2.06 for Minyor Pernik. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Natsional Sofia and 6 for Minyor Pernik, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Minyor Pernik · 55%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Natsional Sofia is going head to head with Minyor Pernik on November 21, 2026 at 15:00. This match is part of Bulgaria Third League South West — Round 18.
Natsional Sofia take on Minyor Pernik in the Bulgaria Third League South West on 21 November 2026 at 15:00.
Natsional Sofia are currently placed 17th in the table with 11 points, while Minyor Pernik occupy 1st position with 33 points.
Natsional Sofia come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Minyor Pernik have 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Minyor Pernik have 1 win against Natsional Sofia.
Prediction: Minyor Pernik to win with probability 55%. Most likely scoreline: 0-2. Avg goals: 2.96. Over 2.5: 57%. BTTS: 53%.




In their last 6 matches, Natsional Sofia have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Natsional Sofia have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Natsional Sofia's last 6 home matches.
Minyor Pernik are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Minyor Pernik have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Minyor Pernik have won 5 of their last 6 matches.