The model estimates 1.55 goals for Bedford and 1.79 for Chesham. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Saved model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Bedford and 6 for Chesham, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Chesham · 41%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Bedford is going head to head with Chesham on November 14, 2026 at 15:00. This match is part of England Fa Trophy — 1/64-finals.
Bedford take on Chesham in the England Fa Trophy on 14 November 2026 at 15:00.
Bedford come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Chesham have 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Chesham to win with probability 41%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.34. Over 2.5: 65%. BTTS: 67%.
BEDCHEBEDCHEBEDCHEBEDCHEBEDCHEBEDCHEBEDCHEBEDCHEBEDCHEIn their last 6 matches, Bedford have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Bedford have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Bedford's last 6 home matches.
Chesham have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Chesham have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Chesham's last 6 matches.
