The model estimates 2.95 goals for Tonbridge and 1.05 for Chesham. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Tonbridge and 6 for Chesham, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Tonbridge · 66%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Tonbridge is going head to head with Chesham on November 17, 2026 at 19:45. This match is part of England National League South — Round 12.
Tonbridge take on Chesham in the England National League South on 17 November 2026 at 19:45.
Tonbridge are currently placed 6th in the table with 24 points, while Chesham occupy 21st position with 10 points.
Tonbridge come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Chesham have 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 4 recorded meetings, Tonbridge have 2 wins against Chesham, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Tonbridge to win with probability 66%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 4.00. Over 2.5: 76%. BTTS: 62%.




In their last 6 matches, Tonbridge have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Tonbridge's last 6 matches.
Tonbridge have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Chesham have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Chesham have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
Chesham have failed to score in 5 of their last 6 matches.