The model estimates 1.21 goals for Bastia and 1.38 for Fleury-Merogis. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Bastia and 6 for Fleury-Merogis, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Fleury-Merogis · 36%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Bastia is going head to head with Fleury-Merogis on April 24, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of France National — Round 30.
Bastia take on Fleury-Merogis in the France National on 24 April 2027 at 00:00.
Bastia are currently placed 13th in the table with 12 points, while Fleury-Merogis occupy 5th position with 18 points.
Bastia come into this match with 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Fleury-Merogis have 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Fleury-Merogis to win with probability 36%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.60. Over 2.5: 48%. BTTS: 54%.
BASFLEBASFLEBASFLEBASFLEBASFLEBASFLEBASFLEBASFLEBASFLEBastia have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Bastia's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Bastia have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Fleury-Merogis are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Fleury-Merogis have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Fleury-Merogis have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
