The model estimates 1.60 goals for Bastia and 1.28 for Thionville. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Bastia and 6 for Thionville, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Bastia · 43%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Bastia is going head to head with Thionville on May 14, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of France National — Round 33.
Bastia take on Thionville in the France National on 14 May 2027 at 00:00.
Bastia are currently placed 13th in the table with 12 points, while Thionville occupy 12th position with 12 points.
Bastia come into this match with 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Thionville have 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Bastia to win with probability 43%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.88. Over 2.5: 55%. BTTS: 59%.
BASTHIBASTHIBASTHIBASTHIBASTHIBASTHIBASTHIBASTHIBASTHIBastia have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Bastia's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Bastia have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Thionville have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Thionville have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Thionville's last 6 matches.
