The model estimates 1.11 goals for Bastia and 1.31 for La Roche. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Bastia and 6 for La Roche, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: La Roche · 37%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Bastia is going head to head with La Roche on May 08, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of France National — Round 32.
Bastia take on La Roche in the France National on 8 May 2027 at 00:00.
Bastia are currently placed 13th in the table with 12 points, while La Roche occupy 1st position with 21 points.
Bastia come into this match with 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas La Roche have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Bastia and La Roche to draw with probability 31%. Most likely scoreline: 1-1. Avg goals: 2.42. Over 2.5: 44%. BTTS: 51%.




Bastia have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Bastia's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Bastia have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
In their last 6 matches, La Roche have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 5 of La Roche's last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of La Roche's last 6 matches.