The model estimates 1.60 goals for Valenciennes and 0.97 for Bastia. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Valenciennes and 6 for Bastia, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Valenciennes · 48%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Valenciennes is going head to head with Bastia on May 01, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of France National — Round 31.
Valenciennes take on Bastia in the France National on 1 May 2027 at 00:00.
Valenciennes are currently placed 14th in the table with 9 points, while Bastia occupy 13th position with 12 points.
Valenciennes come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Bastia have 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Valenciennes to win with probability 48%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.57. Over 2.5: 47%. BTTS: 51%.
VALBASVALBASVALBASVALBASVALBASVALBASVALBASVALBASVALBASValenciennes have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Valenciennes's last 6 matches.
Valenciennes concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Bastia have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Bastia's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Bastia have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
