The model estimates 3.49 goals for Barcelona and 1.04 for Villarreal. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Barcelona and 6 for Villarreal, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Barcelona · 73%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Barcelona is going head to head with Villarreal on November 22, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of LaLiga — Round 13.
Barcelona take on Villarreal in the LaLiga on 22 November 2026 at 19:00.
Barcelona are currently placed 1st in the table with 30 points, while Villarreal occupy 9th position with 12 points.
Barcelona come into this match with 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Villarreal have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 63 recorded meetings, Barcelona have 39 wins against Villarreal, with 13 draws.
Prediction: Barcelona to win with probability 74%. Most likely scoreline: 3-1. Avg goals: 4.53. Over 2.5: 83%. BTTS: 63%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Barcelona's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Barcelona have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Barcelona have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
Villarreal have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Villarreal have lost 4 of their last 6 away matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Villarreal's last 6 away matches.