The model estimates 0.90 goals for Barakaldo and 0.61 for Ponferradina. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Barakaldo and 6 for Ponferradina, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Barakaldo · 41%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Barakaldo is going head to head with Ponferradina on April 25, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Primera Division Rfef — Round 34.
Barakaldo take on Ponferradina in the Spain Primera Division Rfef on 25 April 2027 at 00:00.
Barakaldo are currently placed 24th in the table with 14 points, while Ponferradina occupy 21st position with 15 points.
Barakaldo come into this match with 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Ponferradina have 1 win, 4 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Barakaldo have yet to beat Ponferradina, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Barakaldo to win with probability 41%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 1.51. Over 2.5: 19%. BTTS: 29%.




There have been under 2.5 goals in 6 of Barakaldo's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Barakaldo have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Barakaldo have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 6 of Ponferradina's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Ponferradina have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Ponferradina have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.