The model estimates 1.77 goals for AD Merida and 0.97 for Barakaldo. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for AD Merida and 6 for Barakaldo, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: AD Merida · 55%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
AD Merida is going head to head with Barakaldo on May 16, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Primera Division Rfef — Round 37.
AD Merida take on Barakaldo in the Spain Primera Division Rfef on 16 May 2027 at 00:00.
AD Merida are currently placed 17th in the table with 13 points, while Barakaldo occupy 29th position with 10 points.
AD Merida come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Barakaldo have 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 2 recorded meetings, AD Merida have 1 win against Barakaldo.
Prediction: AD Merida to win with probability 53%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 2.74. Over 2.5: 52%. BTTS: 53%.




In their last 6 matches, AD Merida have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
AD Merida have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
AD Merida score an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Barakaldo have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Barakaldo's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Barakaldo have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.