The model estimates 1.35 goals for Ponferradina and 0.74 for Dep. Fabril. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Ponferradina and 6 for Dep. Fabril, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Ponferradina · 44%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Ponferradina is going head to head with Dep. Fabril on May 02, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Primera Division Rfef — Round 35.
Ponferradina take on Dep. Fabril in the Spain Primera Division Rfef on 2 May 2027 at 00:00.
Ponferradina are currently placed 19th in the table with 13 points, while Dep. Fabril occupy 33rd position with 8 points.
Ponferradina come into this match with 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Dep. Fabril have 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Dep. Fabril have 1 win against Ponferradina.
Prediction: Ponferradina to win with probability 49%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.09. Over 2.5: 35%. BTTS: 40%.




There have been under 2.5 goals in 6 of Ponferradina's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Ponferradina have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Ponferradina have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Dep. Fabril have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Dep. Fabril have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Dep. Fabril's last 6 matches.