The model estimates 1.58 goals for Ascoli and 1.12 for Modena. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Ascoli and 6 for Modena, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Ascoli · 47%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Ascoli is going head to head with Modena on December 19, 2026 at 17:00. This match is part of Serie B — Round 18.
Ascoli take on Modena in the Serie B on 19 December 2026 at 17:00.
Ascoli are currently placed 2nd in the table with 18 points, while Modena occupy 3rd position with 17 points.
Ascoli come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Modena have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Ascoli to win with probability 46%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.69. Over 2.5: 51%. BTTS: 55%.
ASCMODASCMODASCMODASCMODASCMODASCMODASCMODASCMODASCMODIn their last 6 matches, Ascoli have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Ascoli's last 6 matches.
Ascoli score an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Modena have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Modena's last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Modena's last 6 matches.
