The model estimates 0.71 goals for Cremonese and 1.41 for Ascoli. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Cremonese and 6 for Ascoli, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Ascoli · 37%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Cremonese is going head to head with Ascoli on December 27, 2026 at 17:00. This match is part of Serie B — Round 19.
Cremonese take on Ascoli in the Serie B on 27 December 2026 at 17:00.
Cremonese are currently placed 17th in the table with 9 points, while Ascoli occupy 2nd position with 18 points.
Cremonese come into this match with 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Ascoli have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 18 recorded meetings, Cremonese have 7 wins against Ascoli, with 6 draws.
Prediction: Ascoli to win with probability 46%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.12. Over 2.5: 36%. BTTS: 40%.




Cremonese have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Cremonese have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Cremonese's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Ascoli have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Ascoli's last 6 matches.
Ascoli score an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.