The model estimates 1.41 goals for Ascoli and 0.78 for Sudtirol. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Ascoli and 6 for Sudtirol, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Ascoli · 49%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Ascoli is going head to head with Sudtirol on January 16, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Serie B — Round 21.
Ascoli take on Sudtirol in the Serie B on 16 January 2027 at 00:00.
Ascoli are currently placed 2nd in the table with 18 points, while Sudtirol occupy 7th position with 13 points.
Ascoli come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Sudtirol have 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Ascoli have yet to beat Sudtirol, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Ascoli to win with probability 49%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.18. Over 2.5: 37%. BTTS: 42%.
ASCSUDASCSUDASCSUDASCSUDASCSUDASCSUDASCSUDASCSUDASCSUDIn their last 6 matches, Ascoli have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Ascoli's last 6 matches.
Ascoli score an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Sudtirol have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Sudtirol have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Sudtirol's last 6 matches.
