The model estimates 2.30 goals for Ascoli and 1.03 for Catanzaro. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Ascoli and 6 for Catanzaro, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Ascoli · 49%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Ascoli is going head to head with Catanzaro on January 09, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Serie B — Round 20.
Ascoli take on Catanzaro in the Serie B on 9 January 2027 at 00:00.
Ascoli are currently placed 2nd in the table with 18 points, while Catanzaro occupy 20th position with 5 points.
Ascoli come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Catanzaro have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 17 recorded meetings, Ascoli have 6 wins against Catanzaro, with 5 draws.
Prediction: Ascoli to win with probability 60%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.33. Over 2.5: 65%. BTTS: 59%.




In their last 6 matches, Ascoli have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Ascoli's last 6 matches.
Ascoli score an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Catanzaro have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Catanzaro's last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Catanzaro's last 6 matches.