The model estimates 2.19 goals for Arsenal and 0.74 for Aston Villa. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Arsenal and 6 for Aston Villa, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Arsenal · 58%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Arsenal is going head to head with Aston Villa on April 17, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Premier League — Round 32.
Arsenal take on Aston Villa in the Premier League on 17 April 2027 at 00:00.
Arsenal are currently placed 1st in the table with 27 points, while Aston Villa occupy 10th position with 13 points.
Arsenal come into this match with 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Aston Villa have 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 192 recorded meetings, Arsenal have 85 wins against Aston Villa, with 40 draws.
Prediction: Arsenal to win with probability 63%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 2.93. Over 2.5: 56%. BTTS: 47%.
ARSASTARSASTARSASTARSASTARSASTARSASTARSASTARSASTARSASTArsenal are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Arsenal have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Arsenal have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Aston Villa have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Aston Villa have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Aston Villa's last 6 matches.
