The model estimates 0.86 goals for Alfaro and 0.71 for Varea. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Alfaro and 6 for Varea, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Alfaro · 40%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Alfaro is going head to head with Varea on March 07, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 16 — Round 25.
Alfaro take on Varea in the Spain Tercera Division Group 16 on 7 March 2027 at 00:00.
Alfaro are currently placed 4th in the table with 16 points, while Varea occupy 3rd position with 16 points.
Alfaro come into this match with 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Varea have 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 26 recorded meetings, Alfaro have 11 wins against Varea, with 5 draws.
Prediction: Alfaro and Varea to draw with probability 35%. Most likely scoreline: 0-0. Avg goals: 1.57. Over 2.5: 21%. BTTS: 31%.
In their last 6 matches, Alfaro have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Alfaro have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Alfaro's last 6 home matches.
Varea are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Varea have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 6 of Varea's last 6 matches.