The model estimates 1.89 goals for Alfaro and 1.31 for Berceo. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Alfaro and 6 for Berceo, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Alfaro · 49%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Alfaro is going head to head with Berceo on March 21, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 16 — Round 27.
Alfaro take on Berceo in the Spain Tercera Division Group 16 on 21 March 2027 at 00:00.
Alfaro are currently placed 4th in the table with 16 points, while Berceo occupy 6th position with 15 points.
Alfaro come into this match with 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Berceo have 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 18 recorded meetings, Alfaro have 12 wins against Berceo, with 3 draws.
Prediction: Alfaro to win with probability 49%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.20. Over 2.5: 62%. BTTS: 63%.
In their last 6 matches, Alfaro have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Alfaro have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Alfaro's last 6 home matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Berceo's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Berceo's last 6 matches.
Berceo score an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.