The model estimates 1.15 goals for Varea and 1.08 for Calahorra. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Varea and 6 for Calahorra, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Varea · 39%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Varea is going head to head with Calahorra on March 28, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 16 — Round 28.
Varea take on Calahorra in the Spain Tercera Division Group 16 on 28 March 2027 at 00:00.
Varea are currently placed 5th in the table with 19 points, while Calahorra occupy 4th position with 21 points.
Varea come into this match with 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Calahorra have 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 16 recorded meetings, Calahorra have 8 wins against Varea, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Varea to win with probability 39%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.22. Over 2.5: 38%. BTTS: 47%.
In their last 6 matches, Varea have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Varea's last 6 matches.
Varea have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Calahorra's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Calahorra have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Calahorra have won 4 of their last 6 matches.