The model estimates 2.81 goals for Al Nassr and 1.12 for Al-Faisaly. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Al Nassr and 6 for Al-Faisaly, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Al Nassr · 65%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Al Nassr is going head to head with Al-Faisaly on April 22, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Saudi Professional League — Round 28.
Al Nassr take on Al-Faisaly in the Saudi Professional League on 22 April 2027 at 00:00.
Al Nassr are currently placed 3rd in the table with 28 points, while Al-Faisaly occupy 15th position with 7 points.
Al Nassr come into this match with 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Al-Faisaly have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Al Nassr have 1 win against Al-Faisaly.
Prediction: Al Nassr to win with probability 65%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.94. Over 2.5: 75%. BTTS: 64%.




Al Nassr are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Al Nassr have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Al Nassr have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
Al-Faisaly have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Al-Faisaly's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Al-Faisaly's last 6 matches.