The model estimates 0.84 goals for Al-Gharafa and 2.21 for Al-Duhail. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Al-Gharafa and 6 for Al-Duhail, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Al-Duhail · 55%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Al-Gharafa is going head to head with Al-Duhail on November 20, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of QSL — Round 9.
Al-Gharafa take on Al-Duhail in the QSL on 20 November 2026 at 19:00.
Al-Gharafa are currently placed 11th in the table with 6 points, while Al-Duhail occupy 2nd position with 18 points.
Al-Gharafa come into this match with 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Al-Duhail have 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Al-Duhail to win with probability 60%. Most likely scoreline: 0-2. Avg goals: 3.06. Over 2.5: 59%. BTTS: 52%.




Al-Gharafa have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Al-Gharafa concede an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Al-Gharafa's last 6 home matches.
Al-Duhail are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Al-Duhail have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Al-Duhail's last 6 matches.