The model estimates 1.04 goals for Al-Gharafa and 1.98 for Al Arabi. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Al-Gharafa and 6 for Al Arabi, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Al Arabi · 53%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Al-Gharafa is going head to head with Al Arabi on November 27, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of QSL — Round 10.
Al-Gharafa take on Al Arabi in the QSL on 27 November 2026 at 19:00.
Al-Gharafa are currently placed 10th in the table with 6 points, while Al Arabi occupy 4th position with 12 points.
Al-Gharafa come into this match with 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Al Arabi have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Al Arabi to win with probability 53%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.03. Over 2.5: 58%. BTTS: 57%.




Al-Gharafa have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Al-Gharafa's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Al-Gharafa's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Al Arabi have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Al Arabi have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Al Arabi score an average of 2.33 goals per game across their last 6 matches.