The model estimates 2.02 goals for Al Sailiya and 1.82 for Al-Gharafa. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Al Sailiya and 6 for Al-Gharafa, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Al Sailiya · 42%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Al Sailiya is going head to head with Al-Gharafa on December 03, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of QSL — Round 11.
Al Sailiya take on Al-Gharafa in the QSL on 3 December 2026 at 19:00.
Al Sailiya are currently placed 12th in the table with 4 points, while Al-Gharafa occupy 10th position with 6 points.
Al Sailiya come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Al-Gharafa have 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Al Sailiya to win with probability 42%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.84. Over 2.5: 74%. BTTS: 74%.




Al Sailiya have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Al Sailiya's last 6 matches.
Al Sailiya have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
Al-Gharafa have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Al-Gharafa's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Al-Gharafa's last 6 matches.