The model estimates 2.49 goals for Ajax and 1.52 for Groningen. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Ajax and 6 for Groningen, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Ajax · 55%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Ajax is going head to head with Groningen on January 17, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Eredivisie — Round 19.
Ajax take on Groningen in the Eredivisie on 17 January 2027 at 00:00.
Ajax are currently placed 3rd in the table with 21 points, while Groningen occupy 8th position with 15 points.
Ajax come into this match with 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Groningen have 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 123 recorded meetings, Ajax have 86 wins against Groningen, with 20 draws.
Prediction: Ajax to win with probability 54%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 4.00. Over 2.5: 76%. BTTS: 72%.




Ajax are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Ajax have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 6 of Ajax's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Groningen have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Groningen's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Groningen's last 6 matches.