The model estimates 2.02 goals for Groningen and 1.69 for Nijmegen. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Groningen and 6 for Nijmegen, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Groningen · 45%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Groningen is going head to head with Nijmegen on January 31, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Eredivisie — Round 21.
Groningen take on Nijmegen in the Eredivisie on 31 January 2027 at 00:00.
Groningen are currently placed 8th in the table with 15 points, while Nijmegen occupy 11th position with 10 points.
Groningen come into this match with 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Nijmegen have 0 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 79 recorded meetings, Groningen have 26 wins against Nijmegen, with 29 draws.
Prediction: Groningen to win with probability 44%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.72. Over 2.5: 72%. BTTS: 72%.




In their last 6 matches, Groningen have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Groningen's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Groningen's last 6 matches.
Nijmegen have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Nijmegen's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Nijmegen have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.