The model estimates 1.26 goals for Kalamata and 2.48 for AEK Athens. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Kalamata and 6 for AEK Athens, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: AEK Athens · 54%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Kalamata is going head to head with AEK Athens on November 21, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Super League Greece — Round 11.
Kalamata take on AEK Athens in the Super League Greece on 21 November 2026 at 19:00.
Kalamata are currently placed 8th in the table with 10 points, while AEK Athens occupy 3rd position with 17 points.
Kalamata come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas AEK Athens have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: AEK Athens to win with probability 54%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.74. Over 2.5: 72%. BTTS: 67%.




In their last 6 matches, Kalamata have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Kalamata's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Kalamata's last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of AEK Athens's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, AEK Athens have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 4 of AEK Athens's last 6 matches.