The model estimates 2.54 goals for Real Madrid and 1.36 for PSV. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Real Madrid and 6 for PSV, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Real Madrid · 60%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Real Madrid is going head to head with PSV on November 24, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of UEFA Champions League — Round 5.
Real Madrid take on PSV in the UEFA Champions League on 24 November 2026 at 20:00.
Real Madrid are currently placed 4th in the table with 9 points, while PSV occupy 18th position with 4 points.
Real Madrid come into this match with 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas PSV have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Real Madrid to win with probability 60%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.90. Over 2.5: 75%. BTTS: 69%.




In their last 6 matches, Real Madrid have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Real Madrid have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Real Madrid's last 6 matches.
PSV have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of PSV's last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of PSV's last 6 away matches.