The model estimates 2.49 goals for Arsenal and 1.70 for Real Madrid. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Arsenal and 6 for Real Madrid, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Arsenal · 54%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Arsenal is going head to head with Real Madrid on December 09, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of UEFA Champions League — Round 6.
Arsenal take on Real Madrid in the UEFA Champions League on 9 December 2026 at 20:00.
Arsenal are currently placed 7th in the table with 7 points, while Real Madrid occupy 4th position with 9 points.
Arsenal come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Real Madrid have 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Arsenal to win with probability 54%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 4.20. Over 2.5: 79%. BTTS: 76%.
ARSREAARSREAARSREAARSREAARSREAARSREAARSREAARSREAARSREAArsenal have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Real Madrid have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Real Madrid have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Real Madrid's last 6 matches.
