European FootballTop competitionsNext match00d : 00h : 00m : 00sEuropean FootballTop competitionsNext match00d : 00h : 00m : 00sThe model estimates 1.11 goals for Watford and 1.21 for Derby. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Watford and 6 for Derby, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Watford · 35%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Watford is going head to head with Derby on March 13, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Championship — Round 37.
Watford take on Derby in the Championship on 13 March 2027 at 00:00.
Watford are currently placed 21st in the table with 11 points, while Derby occupy 23rd position with 7 points.
Watford come into this match with 1 win, 0 draws and 5 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Derby have 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Watford and Derby to draw with probability 31%. Most likely scoreline: 1-1. Avg goals: 2.32. Over 2.5: 41%. BTTS: 49%.
WATDERWATDERWATDERWATDERWATDERWATDERWATDERWATDERWATDERWatford have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Watford have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
Watford concede an average of 2.17 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Derby have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Derby's last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Derby's last 6 matches.
