The model estimates 0.95 goals for Willem II and 3.50 for Ajax. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Willem II and 6 for Ajax, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Ajax · 71%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Willem II is going head to head with Ajax on January 09, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Eredivisie — Round 18.
Willem II take on Ajax in the Eredivisie on 9 January 2027 at 00:00.
Willem II are currently placed 18th in the table with 2 points, while Ajax occupy 3rd position with 21 points.
Willem II come into this match with 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Ajax have 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Ajax have 1 win against Willem II.
Prediction: Ajax to win with probability 71%. Most likely scoreline: 0-3. Avg goals: 4.44. Over 2.5: 82%. BTTS: 60%.




Willem II have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Willem II have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Willem II's last 6 matches.
Ajax are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Ajax have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 6 of Ajax's last 6 matches.