The model estimates 1.96 goals for Werder Bremen and 1.54 for Bayer Leverkusen. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Werder Bremen and 6 for Bayer Leverkusen, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Werder Bremen · 46%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Werder Bremen is going head to head with Bayer Leverkusen on December 12, 2026 at 14:30. This match is part of Bundesliga — Round 13.
Werder Bremen take on Bayer Leverkusen in the Bundesliga on 12 December 2026 at 14:30.
Werder Bremen are currently placed 6th in the table with 16 points, while Bayer Leverkusen occupy 5th position with 16 points.
Werder Bremen come into this match with 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Bayer Leverkusen have 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 97 recorded meetings, Werder Bremen have 31 wins against Bayer Leverkusen, with 38 draws.
Prediction: Werder Bremen to win with probability 46%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.51. Over 2.5: 68%. BTTS: 69%.




Werder Bremen are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Werder Bremen have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Werder Bremen's last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Bayer Leverkusen's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Bayer Leverkusen have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Bayer Leverkusen have won 4 of their last 6 matches.