The model estimates 1.71 goals for Derby and 1.11 for Preston North End. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Derby and 6 for Preston North End, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Derby · 47%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Derby is going head to head with Preston North End on March 20, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Championship — Round 39.
Derby take on Preston North End in the Championship on 20 March 2027 at 00:00.
Derby are currently placed 23rd in the table with 7 points, while Preston North End occupy 24th position with 5 points.
Derby come into this match with 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Preston North End have 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Derby to win with probability 48%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.83. Over 2.5: 54%. BTTS: 57%.
DERPREDERPREDERPREDERPREDERPREDERPREDERPREDERPREDERPREDerby have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Derby's last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Derby's last 6 matches.
Preston North End have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Preston North End have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
Preston North End concede an average of 2.17 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
