European FootballTop competitionsNext match00d : 00h : 00m : 00sEuropean FootballTop competitionsNext match00d : 00h : 00m : 00sThe model estimates 1.08 goals for Derby and 2.09 for Middlesbrough. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Derby and 6 for Middlesbrough, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Middlesbrough · 49%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Derby is going head to head with Middlesbrough on March 16, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Championship — Round 38.
Derby take on Middlesbrough in the Championship on 16 March 2027 at 00:00.
Derby are currently placed 23rd in the table with 7 points, while Middlesbrough occupy 1st position with 25 points.
Derby come into this match with 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Middlesbrough have 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Middlesbrough to win with probability 52%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.17. Over 2.5: 61%. BTTS: 59%.
DERMIDDERMIDDERMIDDERMIDDERMIDDERMIDDERMIDDERMIDDERMIDDerby have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Derby's last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Derby's last 6 matches.
Middlesbrough are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Middlesbrough have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Middlesbrough's last 6 matches.
