The model estimates 1.93 goals for Vitesse and 1.17 for Jong Ajax. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Vitesse and 6 for Jong Ajax, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Vitesse · 52%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Vitesse is going head to head with Jong Ajax on January 15, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Netherlands Erstedivision — Round 22.
Vitesse take on Jong Ajax in the Netherlands Erstedivision on 15 January 2027 at 00:00.
Vitesse are currently placed 10th in the table with 18 points, while Jong Ajax occupy 14th position with 16 points.
Vitesse come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Jong Ajax have 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 6 recorded meetings, Vitesse have 2 wins against Jong Ajax, with 3 draws.
Prediction: Vitesse to win with probability 52%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.10. Over 2.5: 60%. BTTS: 60%.




Vitesse have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Vitesse's last 6 matches.
Vitesse have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Jong Ajax have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Jong Ajax have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Jong Ajax's last 6 matches.