The model estimates 1.35 goals for Jong Ajax and 1.66 for Vitesse. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Jong Ajax and 6 for Vitesse, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Vitesse · 40%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Jong Ajax is going head to head with Vitesse on November 02, 2026 at 22:00. This match is part of Netherlands Erstedivision — Round 13.
Jong Ajax take on Vitesse in the Netherlands Erstedivision on 2 November 2026 at 22:00.
Jong Ajax are currently placed 15th in the table with 12 points, while Vitesse occupy 9th position with 17 points.
Jong Ajax come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Vitesse have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 5 recorded meetings, Vitesse have 2 wins against Jong Ajax, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Vitesse to win with probability 40%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.01. Over 2.5: 58%. BTTS: 61%.




Jong Ajax have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Jong Ajax's last 6 matches.
Jong Ajax have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
Vitesse have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Vitesse's last 6 matches.
Vitesse have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.