The model estimates 1.55 goals for Villefranche and 2.26 for Caen. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Villefranche and 6 for Caen, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Caen · 46%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Villefranche is going head to head with Caen on January 23, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of France National — Round 17.
Villefranche take on Caen in the France National on 23 January 2027 at 00:00.
Villefranche are currently placed 16th in the table with 7 points, while Caen occupy 4th position with 18 points.
Villefranche come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Caen have 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Caen to win with probability 46%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.81. Over 2.5: 73%. BTTS: 72%.




Villefranche have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Villefranche's last 6 matches.
Villefranche have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Caen have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Caen have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
Caen score an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.