The model estimates 1.34 goals for Bastia and 1.56 for Caen. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Bastia and 6 for Caen, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Caen · 38%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Bastia is going head to head with Caen on February 13, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of France National — Round 20.
Bastia take on Caen in the France National on 13 February 2027 at 00:00.
Bastia are currently placed 13th in the table with 12 points, while Caen occupy 4th position with 18 points.
Bastia come into this match with 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Caen have 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Bastia have 1 win against Caen.
Prediction: Caen to win with probability 38%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 2.89. Over 2.5: 55%. BTTS: 60%.




Bastia have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Bastia's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Bastia have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
In their last 6 matches, Caen have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Caen have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
Caen score an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.