The model estimates 2.26 goals for Caen and 1.43 for Thionville. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Caen and 6 for Thionville, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Caen · 52%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Caen is going head to head with Thionville on January 30, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of France National — Round 18.
Caen take on Thionville in the France National on 30 January 2027 at 00:00.
Caen are currently placed 4th in the table with 18 points, while Thionville occupy 12th position with 12 points.
Caen come into this match with 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Thionville have 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Thionville have 1 win against Caen.
Prediction: Caen to win with probability 52%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.69. Over 2.5: 71%. BTTS: 69%.




In their last 6 matches, Caen have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Caen have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
Caen score an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Thionville have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Thionville have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Thionville's last 6 matches.