The model estimates 2.18 goals for Villarreal and 1.06 for Rayo Vallecano. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Villarreal and 6 for Rayo Vallecano, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Villarreal · 58%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Villarreal is going head to head with Rayo Vallecano on December 13, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of LaLiga — Round 16.
Villarreal take on Rayo Vallecano in the LaLiga on 13 December 2026 at 19:00.
Villarreal are currently placed 10th in the table with 12 points, while Rayo Vallecano occupy 15th position with 9 points.
Villarreal come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Rayo Vallecano have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 32 recorded meetings, Villarreal have 18 wins against Rayo Vallecano, with 6 draws.
Prediction: Villarreal to win with probability 58%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.24. Over 2.5: 63%. BTTS: 59%.




In their last 6 matches, Villarreal have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Villarreal's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Villarreal's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Rayo Vallecano's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Rayo Vallecano have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Rayo Vallecano have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.