The model estimates 2.07 goals for Aston Villa and 1.98 for PSG. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Aston Villa and 6 for PSG, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Aston Villa · 44%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Aston Villa is going head to head with PSG on December 08, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of UEFA Champions League — Round 6.
Aston Villa take on PSG in the UEFA Champions League on 8 December 2026 at 20:00.
Aston Villa are currently placed 2nd in the table with 9 points, while PSG occupy 1st position with 9 points.
Aston Villa come into this match with 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas PSG have 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Aston Villa to win with probability 44%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 4.04. Over 2.5: 77%. BTTS: 76%.


There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Aston Villa's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Aston Villa have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Aston Villa have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
PSG are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, PSG have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 6 of PSG's last 6 matches.