The model estimates 2.46 goals for Jong AZ Alkmaar and 2.70 for Venlo. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Jong AZ Alkmaar and 6 for Venlo, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Jong AZ Alkmaar · 42%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Jong AZ Alkmaar is going head to head with Venlo on March 15, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Netherlands Erstedivision — Round 30.
Jong AZ Alkmaar take on Venlo in the Netherlands Erstedivision on 15 March 2027 at 00:00.
Jong AZ Alkmaar are currently placed 8th in the table with 17 points, while Venlo occupy 2nd position with 25 points.
Jong AZ Alkmaar come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Venlo have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Jong AZ Alkmaar have yet to beat Venlo, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Venlo to win with probability 41%. Most likely scoreline: 2-3. Avg goals: 5.16. Over 2.5: 89%. BTTS: 86%.




Both teams have scored in 5 of Jong AZ Alkmaar's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Jong AZ Alkmaar have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Jong AZ Alkmaar have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Venlo have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Venlo's last 6 matches.
Venlo have won 4 of their last 6 matches.